Galloping into Uncertainty: British Horse Racing’s Financial Tightrope

Racing 2030: What Will the Sport Look Like?

10/29/20247 min read

Horse racing has long been a cornerstone of British sport—a world of tweed jackets, betting slips, and the thundering hooves of champions cutting through misty racecourses. But beneath its storied veneer lies an industry grappling with financial pressures that could bring even the mightiest of stallions to its knees. With dwindling prize money, fewer race days, the looming shadow of affordability checks, and fans tightening their belts, the industry’s ecosystem—racing channels, trainers, publications, racecourses, and betting shops—faces a cascade of challenges. And at the helm are the British Horseracing Authority (BHA) and the Levy Board, guardians of British racing, who seem to be fumbling through the dark without a torch, a map, or a clue. If they can’t find their way out, it won’t be bookmakers calling time on the industry but economic reality itself.

1. Racing Channels: Leaner, Meaner, or Just Gone?

When the going gets tough, the tough… cancel their subscriptions. For channels like Racing TV and Sky Sports Racing, heavily reliant on subscribers and sponsors, a drop in race quality and frequency could see casual fans galloping away faster than a horse at the sound of the starter pistol. And unlike mainstream sports channels with millions of guaranteed viewers, racing’s audience is loyal but notoriously frugal. Fewer race days mean fewer big moments, less spectacle—and thus less reason for fans to justify yet another monthly fee.

To make matters worse, the media rights these channels pay to broadcast races may no longer yield a profit, leaving racecourses scrambling for cash. With fewer races, smaller fields, and declining quality, even dedicated race fans might start questioning the subscription value, and Racing TV could soon find itself on the same endangered list as VHS tapes and encyclopedias. Yet racing authorities barely seem to notice, much less act—one can almost picture them in their offices at High Holborn, vaguely aware that something’s amiss but mistaking the mounting chaos for a case of “business as usual.”

2. Trainers: Holding the Reins, But for How Long?

As revenue pinches start to choke racing’s ecosystem, it’s the trainers, especially smaller yards, who will feel the brunt. Horse training in the UK has always been a fine art balanced on slim margins, and with prize money declining, the cost of entry into racing ownership becomes less justifiable for small-time syndicates or individual owners. Without these owners, many trainers will face reduced stables, and potentially, reduced careers. If things continue this way, “furlough” may end up being the newest word in the trainer’s glossary—right between “furlong” and “farrier.”

Larger stables—think John Gosden or Aidan O’Brien—will likely weather the storm, absorbing the displaced talent as their empires expand. But smaller trainers will be squeezed, their operations reduced to skeleton crews, and their dreams of grandeur swapped for sleepless nights over dwindling stables. The BHA, of course, assures us that this “period of adjustment” is perfectly normal. After all, why should the horses have all the race-day jitters?

3. Racecourses: From Grass to Grandstand to Ghost Town?

For many racecourses, especially those outside the glittering Ascot-Cheltenham-Aintree triangle, the financial crisis has been a near-death experience. Reduced gate receipts, lower corporate hospitality sales, and diminishing media rights revenue have turned even the most profitable venues into financial question marks. At this rate, we’ll be lucky if 75% of them make it to 2030.

Smaller racecourses are particularly vulnerable, with some forced to reduce the number of race days or cut amenities just to stay in the black. Race days aren’t just about horses and bettors; they bring an economic boost to local pubs, hotels, and vendors. Fewer race days mean less local spending, hurting entire communities. If the BHA thinks a concert or two in place of race day will fill the gap, they might as well start selling popcorn in the paddocks and charging admission to see the “Endangered British Racecourse” in its natural habitat.

To their credit, some racecourses have tried hosting everything from antique fairs to car shows to make up for the shortfall. But the audiences at these events aren’t exactly there for the horses. Imagine selling champagne to celebrate the season’s big winner, only to discover the punters have turned up for a vintage tractor display instead. What was once a proud institution might soon look more like an odd hybrid of antique stalls and struggling food trucks than the sport of kings.

4. Betting Shops: The Dying Dinosaurs of the High Street

Once, high street betting shops were the hub of local racing culture. These were the places where punters gathered in clouds of cigarette smoke to place a fiver on the next race. Today, online gambling has left bricks-and-mortar betting shops struggling for relevance, compounded by government restrictions on Fixed Odds Betting Terminals (FOBTs), which once propped up the shops’ bottom line. Local shops are shuttering, replaced by digital behemoths like Bet365 and Paddy Power, leaving the high street shops to face extinction.

The irony? As these betting shops close, racing loses an important channel for casual fans. It’s the racing industry’s unique double-whammy: while it depends on punters, the very venues that connect casual bettors to the sport are disappearing. Yet the BHA’s grand vision is apparently that racing will thrive with a skeleton crew of digital betters, reduced attendance, and a sense of detachment. How this will somehow attract younger fans who view racing as the sport of their grandfathers remains one of the great mysteries of modern sports administration.

5. Racing Publications: Writing the Last Chapter?

For British racing publications like the Racing Post at a fiver a pop, the writing is on the wall—or rather, not on the wall but fading on an iPad screen somewhere. Their revenue models, a delicate mix of ad sales, subscriptions, and single-issue purchases, were already struggling in an era of declining print media. Now, as fans tighten their belts, subscriptions are one of the first luxuries to go. What racing needs is to reach new audiences, yet its main publications seem to be receding into the background like dusty library books—relevant to some, but unknown to the many.

Advertisers, the lifeblood of these publications, might start rethinking their commitments too, especially as racing’s relevance declines. One possible way forward is pivoting toward digital content—but if they turn into yet another clickbait haven full of lifestyle articles and international races, they risk alienating the die-hard British racing fan altogether. No doubt the BHA will issue a “strongly worded statement” of concern as print editions dwindle. Just don’t hold your breath waiting for them to act.

6. Affordability Checks: The Final Nail in the Coffin?

Just when you thought it couldn’t get worse, affordability checks are here to save punters from themselves, one red-taped transaction at a time. Designed to protect bettors from financial ruin, these checks could inadvertently turn the thrill of betting into a bureaucratic exercise, where every £50 flutter requires documentation that would make an accountant blush. Racing’s deep connection with betting is undeniable, yet the very process of placing a bet may become a gauntlet of credit checks and forms. Here’s a vision of the future: punters fleeing in droves as they find themselves drowning in affordability checks while placing their annual flutter on the Grand National.

And as for the Levy Board? They seem no better prepared to foresee the impact of these affordability checks than they are to predict a solar eclipse. The board, which funnels betting revenue back into the sport, is increasingly disconnected from the way younger audiences interact with gambling. It’s as if they’re expecting Gen Z punters to turn up at high street shops with cash in hand, when the reality is a generation glued to their screens, preferring a scroll on social media over a stroll to the bookies. Yet the Levy Board’s idea of strategy appears to be crossing fingers and hoping for a miracle—a lot like picking the outsider in the 3:15 at Haydock without checking the form.

The BHA and Levy Board: Racing’s Authority Vacuum

At the helm of this sinking ship are the British Horseracing Authority and the Levy Board, the self-styled guardians of British racing. For all their committees, strategy boards, and task forces, they’ve yet to demonstrate a firm grip on racing’s financial reality. It’s as if the BHA is convinced that things will simply work out on their own, confident that the "glory" of racing will somehow carry it through—even as prize funds diminish and fans turn to other forms of entertainment. The board’s approach to crisis management would make Nero feel prudent.

In practice, this leadership looks like little more than an endless loop of well-meaning words, timid policy initiatives, and strategic hand-wringing. Meanwhile, the Levy Board seems unable to anticipate the full impact of affordability checks or even grasp the habits of younger bettors. They seem genuinely shocked to learn that Gen Z doesn’t flock to betting shops or that social media has replaced word-of-mouth tipping. It’s as if they’re caught in the 1980s, with no plan beyond hoping racing’s “noble legacy” will somehow lure people back.

Racing 2030: What Will the Sport Look Like?

Fast forward to 2030, and the outlook isn’t pretty. With the BHA and Levy Board steering by the stars rather than a map, British racing could end up a mere shadow of its former self. The sport will likely be dominated by large stables and high-profile racecourses, with smaller trainers and local tracks relegated to history. Racecourses will morph into multi-purpose venues with fewer race days and reduced prize money, serving an exclusive audience of racing’s last remaining die-hards. As for betting shops? They’ll be nothing more than a quaint memory, featured in documentaries on Britain’s lost high street.

For racing to avoid this fate, the BHA and Levy Board need to wake up and address racing’s place in the modern world. Racing needs radical reform: creative funding models, digital transformation, and an appeal that resonates with younger audiences who aren’t going to flock to racecourses on tradition alone. But if the current powers fail to act, British racing might soon find itself a page in history rather than a live event, as relevant to future fans as jousting.